Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 5.209676 5.661938 6.166074 6.776302 7.504317 8.357732 9.453977
2025-02-02 4.921081 5.591094 6.404468 7.494632 8.970360 10.991798 14.175816
2025-02-09 4.530051 5.322620 6.351402 7.854867 10.145611 13.849202 21.427252
2025-02-16 4.169347 5.031875 6.214867 8.080295 11.265465 17.448624 35.752890
2025-02-23 3.832479 4.722430 5.997681 8.141449 12.204349 21.776777 71.446285
2025-03-02 3.462102 4.318861 5.579408 7.785433 12.270234 24.530381 154.287913
2025-03-09 3.212985 4.060679 5.343800 7.692019 12.877627 30.200314 NaN
2025-03-16 2.944452 3.746624 4.979120 7.289921 12.638744 32.980640 NaN
2025-03-23 2.801745 3.607425 4.878335 7.367798 13.671227 45.744021 NaN
2025-03-30 2.651814 3.442866 4.714300 7.286030 14.269785 61.526597 NaN
2025-04-06 2.498884 3.261111 4.500681 7.059982 14.343227 76.684673 NaN
2025-04-13 2.342373 3.063047 4.240466 6.691389 13.800811 81.754399 NaN
2025-04-20 2.285333 3.029781 4.285186 7.053114 16.318017 410.365692 NaN
2025-04-27 2.275433 3.072830 4.477249 7.842878 22.174898 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.216786 3.029726 4.503367 8.247318 27.734211 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.147513 2.962599 4.474186 8.504098 33.958141 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.069310 2.873683 4.389968 8.579279 39.801942 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.964053 2.729954 4.176929 8.194501 38.885635 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.889151 2.635739 4.059487 8.096407 42.553769 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.796520 2.504682 3.852711 7.659356 39.432011 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.747988 2.450036 3.804357 7.746808 47.031307 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.691660 2.377919 3.711406 7.659092 51.580334 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.629442 2.291948 3.581389 7.413350 51.194780 NaN NaN